Updates article gold trading medium term release september 14,2014

Updated post trading strategies gold release september 14,2014. Everyone can see gold trading strategy here.

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Gold trading strategy release September 17,2014

Current gold prices fluctuated in a narrow range 1231 - 1239. Today, the market received important news from the FOMC meeting, all around plans to raise the base rate by the Fed. Expected to strong impact gold prices.

My personal opinion remains the long-term trend of gold price reduced. However, I expect the market will adjust at higher prices, there may be 1257 or 1274. Following is the trading strategy for gold before and after FOMC meetings.

Gold trading strategy:
Buy stop : 1240.30 USD/oz
Stop loss: 1230.30 USD/oz
Take Profit: 1257.30 - 1274.30 USD/oz

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Gold trading strategy release September 16,2014

Closing session days 16/9 energy commodities, world gold prices tend to go up while Brent prices fell slightly. Specifically, the December gold futures on the Comex rose 3.6 USD to  1235.1 USD/ oz with a volume of less than 25% compared with an average of 100 days, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The market is trading very careful with the economic data published ahead of the policy meeting the Federal Reserve (Fed). ICE dollar index - exchange rate of dollars monitor with 6 strong currency - almost flat, trading up and down in a narrow range from 84.035 to 84.519 points after hitting the highest level in 14 months of the date 9/9.

Back in technical analysis of gold prices. After days of consecutive decline, there were signs that prices tend to increase. However, only the price adjustments in the major trend remains discounts. So we can surfing day.

Gold trading strategy release September 16,2014 - short term:
Buy limit: 1234 - 1235.50
Stop loss: 1230.30
Take Profit: 1244.50

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Gold trading strategy medium term release September 14,2014

Last week, the highest gold price traded at 1271 USD /oz and closed the week at 1229 USD /oz. A strong decline week, the main cause is due to dollar appreciation. This week, the price of gold downward pressure remains. However, the price of gold has gone too far EMA89 moving average. According to the perspective of technical analysis, technical analysis using Elliott Wave, I would expect prices to increase.

Gold trading strategy medium term :
Buy limit: 1217 - 1221 USD/oz
Stop loss: 1208 USD/oz
Take Profit: 1241 - 1257 USD/oz

These are medium-term trading strategy. Intraday trading strategy will be detailed update when I have a good signal. Everyone should keep track often. Please LIKE and G+1 support me. Thank and love all. I wish you a successful trading week !

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Classic and modern Elliott wave analysis

These guidelines can be used with classic and modern Elliott Wave analysis and also with the Elliott Oscillator in a bar chart of from 100 - 150 bars from Point Zero.


1. Point zero
CONDITIONS  : A coincidence of Pattern, Price and Time has come together to mark a major pivot that we have identified as the 5th of a 5th wave. The Elliott Wave pattern may not always be the one that we were expecting. When a fractal occurs it means that a wave has ended, ready or not. 

IMPLICATIONS : The suspected high or low tick at a major pivot point is the ideal entry point. This entry has the least capital risk because it is closest to the initial stop loss point - the pivot. The trade off is that there
will be a higher percentage of losses. The market does not always reverse where we want it to! The pivot point is Point Zero.

FIBONACCI : The most common Fibonacci relationships between Elliott waves of the same degree.

2. Wave 1
CONDITIONS : Will follow either a three wave A-B-C or a five wave impulse pattern. W.1 that follows an A-B-C is an impulse wave. W.1 that follows a five wave pattern is W.A of an A-B-C pattern. Modern Elliott Wave analysis allows for five wave triangle patterns in the W.1 position of lesser degree waves. That
means that W.4:1 can overlap W.1:1 without invalidating the pattern as an impulse wave. The internal structure is 3-3-3-3-3.  W.1 triangles are never allowed as lesser degree waves within a larger degree W.3.

IMPLICATIONS :  New W.1 of the same degree should overbalance the immediately prior corrective
pattern in price range but not necessarily in time.

FIBONACCI :
PRICE Use internal swings of lesser degree to project termination of W.1
TIME Impulse W.1 usually overbalances in time the prior counter trend swing. 

3. Wave 2
CONDITIONS : Zig-Zag (ABC) most common. Triangles least likely in W.2 position and most likely in W.4.

IMPLICATIONS :W.2 most likely to be more than 50% in time of W.1. Avoid premature entry. Patience required. Wait for C wave completion. The first counterswing is likely just the A leg of an ABC pattern. Must not penetrate Point Zero or suspected change in trend from Point Zero is probably wrong. 

FIBONACCI :
PRICE > 50% < 78.6% W.1
TIME > 50% W.1 minimum > 62% < 162% of W.1 most likely

4. Wave 3
CONDITIONS : Usually the longest and strongest trending wave of the sequence. W.3 cannot be the shortest wave of a five wave sequence. W.3 does not have to be longest wave but it can never be the shortest. This is one of the very few Rules of Elliott Wave analysis.  W.3 always synchronizes with an Oscillator extreme. The Oscillator extreme usually occurs before the price extreme.

IMPLICATIONS : W.3 confirmed when the price extreme of W.1 is exceeded. Price beyond the beginning of W.2.  If suspected W.3 completes five waves of lesser degree and is less than 100% of W.1 consider that the suspected W.3 is W.C of a corrective pattern and not an impulse wave. Once W.3 exceeds 100% of W.1 look for price to reach and probably exceed 162% of W.1 Look for termination conditions when W.3 exceeds 262% expansion of W.1 or 424% retracement of W.2.

FIBONACCI :
PRICE
W.3 162% - 262% of W.1 , W.3 162% - 262% of W.2 .
TIME
W.3 almost always longer in time than W.1 .  W.3 often equal in time to complete W.0 through W.2 sequence. 

5. Wave 4 
CONDITIONS : If W.2 was an ABC then W.4 will probably be complex and vica versa. This is the principle of alternation. Look for minimum of three fractals in lower time frame and minimum price relationship of 62% to W.2 W.4 should not penetrate W.1. A W.4 close into W.1 invalidates the W.5 setup.
This is a Rule.

IMPLICATIONS : Price extreme often occurs before the termination of the W.4 pattern. In complex waves Time factors should be the primary consideration.  If Wave 4 has exceed >50% of Wave 3, the possibility of a 5th wave failure is increased. The Oscillator will cross the zero line two times during W.4. First against the direction of W.3 and then in the direction of W.3 to signal that W.4 has fulfilled minimum requirements for completion.

FIBONACCI :
PRICE
< 50% of W.3.
W.4 38% W.3 common
W.4:W.3 < W.2:W1 on percentage basis
W.4 62% 100% 162% W.2
W.4 > 23.6% < 50% W.0 - W.3
TIME
W.4 most often related to W.3 or W.0 - W.3
Often longer in time than W.3 / W.0 - W.3
W.4 138% - 162% of Parallel Projection of ends of W.1 - W.3 measured from beginning of W.2 

6. Wave 5
CONDITIONS : Look for termination when W.5 has completed at least five fractals in lower time frame and is in a coincidence of Price and Time.  W.5 has made new price extreme and price and the Oscillator are diverged. 

IMPLICATIONS : When the extreme of Wave 3 is exceeded the maximum stop loss should be raised to Wave 4.  When four fractals are in place for Wave 5 trailing stops should be moved very close to the market. If Wave 4 has exceed >50% of Wave 3, the possibility of a 5th  wave failure is increased.

FIBONACCI :
PRICE
W.5 = 62% 100% 162% W.1
If W.3 extended W.5= 62% or 38% of W. 0-3
W.5=127%, 162%, 200%, 262% W.4 
TIME
W.5 > W.4 if W.4 is a simple ABC
W.5 < W.4 if W.4 is complex.
  
6. Wave A
CONDITIONS : Usually a five wave pattern but can be three. See W.1 description for the impulsive triangle pattern that can also occur as a W.A

IMPLICATIONS :Caution required after first three waves complete. May be only 3 of 5.  Assume the first five wave structure is the W.A of an A-B-C pattern. 

FIBONACCI : 
PRICE
Between 38% - 50% of prior W.5 
TIME
N/A  

7. Wave B
CONDITIONS : Usually a three wave pattern.
IMPLICATIONS : Wait for at least a 50% retracement of related W.A before entering a trade.
FIBONACCI :
PRICE
> 50% < 78.6% of W.A 
TIME
> 50% < 100% of W.A time.

8. Wave C

CONDITIONS : Classically W.C is a five wave pattern. 
IMPLICATIONS :If W.C. exceed 162% of W.A the labeling is probably wrong. The current pattern is probably impulsive.
FIBONACCI :
PRICE
W.C. usually 62% 100% 162% of W.A .  W.C 162% 200% 262% of W.B .  W.C. rarely > 262% W.B 
TIME
Use Time guidelines for complete A-B-C corrective pattern in W.2 or W.4.

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Gold trading strategy medium-term release September 11,2014

Gold trading strategy medium-term release September 11,2014 . Target : 1219 USD/oz.

USD remains near its highest level in six years against the yen and rose against the euro.
In fact, the dollar is at the heart of the currency markets in recent weeks, in part because investors remain concerned about the time the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate. Dollar increase is the main cause of the price of gold fell sharply.

Strategy medium-term:
Sell: 1245 - 1250 USD/oz
Stop loss: 1259 USD/oz
Take Profit: 1228 - 1219 USD/oz

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Gold trading strategy release September 10,2014

Yesterday, the main trend is bearish for gold prices. However, in the zone of 1247 - 1249, gold prices met resistance from the trendline support. Trend line defined on D1 time frame, is drawn from the value of 684 USD/oz (October 2008) and 1,179 USD/oz (December 2013).

Gold trading strategy release September 10,2014. Price trends: fell before rising back.
Strategy:
Buy limit: 1252.50 - 1254.50 USD/oz
Stop loss: 1248.30 USD/oz
Take Profit: 1264.30 USD/oz

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